Last updated on 07 June, 2022, 3:44:04 PM.

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This website has forecasts of hospitalization counts from COVID-19 and wastewater recovery of SARS-CoV-2.

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Click here to access the COVID-19 Daily Dashboard created by Ottawa Public Health. The Ottawa Public Health dashboard provides up to date COVID-19 metrics that inform projections presented on this website.

Dashboard

Data to 2022-05-18

Current

Case halving time: 6 days (based on health care worker absenteeism due to COVID-19)

Rt: 0.61 based on health care worker absenteeism due to COVID-19.

14 confirmed COVID-19 patients in hospital.

Including 12 acute care patients. 2 ICU patients.

Observed cases & hospital use

Note: New cases are based on approximate date of episode. Case data in the last 7 days should be considered preliminary as as public health investigators determine earliest onset date.

Observed COVID-19 cases in health care workers in Ottawa by episode date

Note: The health care worker cases (per 1000 people) are the number of hospital staff who reported a positive PCR or RAT for selected hospitals and health care organizations. These are people who notified Occupational Health of their positive result. Based on an estimated reporting rate of 50%. The actual rate per 1000 people 50% lower than reported in this figure.

Cumulative incidence of COVID-19 positive staff

Note: The cumulative health care worker cases (per 1000 people) is the cumulative incidence or total proportion of health care workers who reported a positive PCR or RAT for selected hospitals and health care organizations since December 26, 2021. These are people who notified Occupational Health of their positive result. Based on an estimated reporting rate of 50%. The actual rate per 1000 people 50% lower than reported in this figure.

Note: As per Ottawa Public Health, hospital data reflecting the past 3-5 days should be considered preliminary as data is still being received and entered for this time period.

Short-term hospitalization projections

Short-term COVID-19 hospital projections are presented below. See Methods for how the projections where created. Short-term projections can trend in different directions when there are changing patterns of community COVID-19 transmission. For example, predicted hospital counts can be underestimated during periods of rapid re-opening.

Short-term COVID-19 positive staff projection in Ottawa

Short-term COVID-19 hospital projections are presented below. See Methods for how the projections where created. Short-term projections can trend in different directions when there are changing patterns of community COVID-19 transmission. For example, predicted hospital counts can be underestimated during periods of rapid re-opening.

Short-term Rt projections from COVID-19 positive staff projection in Ottawa

Definitions

Hospital count is the count of patients in all Ottawa hospitals at midnight on the previous day. OPH counts and hospital counts reported from other sources may be different because:

  • Hospital counts from other sources may include people who do not reside in Ottawa;
  • Interpretation of clearance may vary between hospitals and OPH;
  • Interpretation of treated for COVID-19 and being treated primarily for COVID-19 may vary slightly; and
  • OPH workload may delay the clearance of hospitalizations in preference to reporting new ones by OPH when volumes are high.

Transmission is the risk that a person becomes infected when they come in contact with a person with COVID-19.

Doubling time refers to the time it takes for the number of hospitalized patients to double in number. Conversely, halving time refers to the time it takes for the number of hospitalized patients to halve in number.

Daily growth is the rate of change in the hospitalization from day-to-day.